Osborne’s fiscal nightmare – by Damien Quigg, London Planning Group

George Osborne’s new plan to legislate fiscal surpluses is an attempt to return Britain to Victorian values. He has even revived the Victorian Commissioners for the Reduction of the National Debt (a body that last met in 1860).

His rational is that the financial crisis was due to Labour’s irresponsible borrowing when it was in office. The Opposition cannot be trusted unless it admits its guilt and promises to follow Osborne’s guidelines.

But the fundamental problem here that Labour has never been able to refute Osborne’s accusation, even though it is a lie. It’s astonishing that some of the candidates for the party’s leadership are buying into the surplus argument.

The reason we have £1.5 trillion of debt is not because Labour were irresponsible with the nation’s credit card in order to reduce child poverty, enhance public services, or give young people leaving school with few/no qualifications a better chance in life.

Instead, the vast majority of our national debt has, in fact, come from bailing out the banks, following the 2008 global financial meltdown. That, of course, was the product of the banks themselves through irresponsible lending and speculation in debt.

The global economic recession followed hard on the heels of the crash – and so did austerity. As a consequence of the banking crisis, Osborne introduced the bedroom tax, cuts to welfare benefits, attacks on legal aid, cuts to local authority funding for vital services, the freezing of public sector workers’ pay and the privatisation of key areas of NHS provision.

And while our MPs are set to enjoy a 9.2% pay rise, the Tory government is planning a further £30billion in cuts to public sector spending, including a £12billion reduction to the welfare budget. All this based on a “mandate” of fewer than 25% of the registered electorate. Where’s the democracy here?

If the government is to achieve an overall fiscal surplus and taxes are not to be raised (the Tories have ruled this out, allegedly) then spending must first be cut, and then kept at a level, relative to gross domestic product, achieved only twice in the past 70 years.

The Osborne argument that the crisis has proven the need for a surplus in normal times is simply not the case. His claim that, in other words, we would be better prepared in the event of another financial crisis if the state was running a surplus doesn’t add up.

It would have made little difference to the effects of the financial crisis in 2008 if Labour had run a balanced budget before it. Both Ireland and Spain, for example, had been running a balanced budget before the financial crisis. Yet the meltdown in economic activity that followed the crash devastated both these economies.

Another argument from Osborne is that a fiscal surplus is a hallmark of prudence. Yet the focus on public debt alone is mistaken. Crucially, it ignores the asset side of the balance sheet altogether. Moreover, all things being equal, the bigger the fiscal surplus, the lower interest rates would be. If that encouraged a run-up of private debt, the economy could end up even more unstable. Alas, the Office for Budget Responsibility already forecasts a big jump in household debt.

As Osborne well knows, there are alternative measures that can be taken to reduce our national debt in the long term. It does not all have to be done right away. In fact the ratio of our public debt to GDP is well below its average over the past three centuries. Naturally, such considerations including the case for fiscal stimulus apply only if a country has fiscal space.

But markets and the IMF agree that the UK has such space. It is clear that the obsession with public debt is unhealthy. Public borrowing is not always an evil. Nor is private borrowing always a good. It is quite appropriate to borrow to invest. Not least, the time to reduce public debt comes when economies boom and interest rates are far from the floor. Despite what the chancellor claims, our economy is certainly not booming.

What is also important is how fiscal consolidation is achieved and at whose expense. It should never be at the expense of the poorest and those least able to defend themselves. For that to happen, we would have to live in a truly democratic society.

ONE DAY – by John A Smith

One Day.

One day through community and consensus human beings ruled collectively
One day the village idiot stood up at the village meeting and declared himself ruler
The villagers laughed and exclaimed “What an idiot!”

One day the village idiot stood up at the village meeting and declared himself ruler
He had friends with weapons and explained that anyone who wouldn’t accept his rule would be hurt or killed
The villagers bowed and stuttered, “Your majesty!”

One day the town fool stood up at the town meeting and declared himself ruler
He had friends with weapons and explained that anyone who wouldn’t accept his rule would be hurt or killed
The townsfolk had weapons
The town fool had another friend, a cleric who explained that the ruler had been chosen by God and that anyone who wouldn’t accept his rule would be damned for eternity
The townsfolk bowed and cried, “Your majesty!”

One day the city eccentric stood up at the city meeting and declared himself ruler
He had friends with weapons and explained that anyone who wouldn’t accept his rule would be hurt or killed
The city folk had weapons
The city eccentric had another friend, a cleric who explained that the ruler had been chosen by God and that anyone who wouldn’t accept his rule would be damned for eternity
The city folk were sceptical
The city eccentric had other friends who had created tokens inscribed with his likeness and explained that anyone who wouldn’t accept his rule would be denied these tokens
The city folk bowed and cheered, “Your majesty!”

One day those with weapons hurt or killed only to accumulate tokens
One day the clerics damned for eternity only to accumulate tokens
One day the token creators only created tokens to accumulate tokens
One day the ruler only ruled to accumulate tokens
One day the tokens ruled

One day a human being stood up and declared that the tokens should be abolished and through community and consensus human beings should rule collectively
The human race laughed and exclaimed “What an idiot!”
One day the tokens were abolished and through community and consensus human beings ruled collectively

One day

A free election, but not a fair one – by Dr Peter Evans for openDemocracy

So, the results are in, and an unexpected outcome in some ways. Slim as it is, I don’t think many would have predicted the Tories getting an overall majority! However, in other ways the results of this election were entirely predictable, and one of the most predictable elements was that the distribution of seats would in no way match the distribution of the national share of votes. The SNP, with 1.45 million votes, has received 56 seats. That’s 8.6% of the seats with 4.8% of the votes. The Liberal Democrats meanwhile got 2.41 million votes and 8 seats – 1.23% of the seats with 7.9% of the votes. Continue reading

Planning Democracy – by Clare Symmonds

The referendum and now the general election have brought greater scrutiny of one of the most historical and influential political systems in the world. In a certain sense, the referendum is holding the Scottish political system to account.  Furthermore, the debates generated have gone into very meaty issues: economics, currency, taxation, nuclear issues, among many others. Continue reading

Democracy in Britain is under siege – by Damien Quigg, London Planning Group

Only 24% of the electorate or 11.3 million people voted Conservative, yet we have a majority Conservative government. UKIP got 3.8 million votes, while the Green party got 1.1 million votes, but both ended up with only one MP each. Compare that with SNP who received 1.5 million votes and have 56 MPs. The Liberal Democrats received 2.4 million votes, yet returned eight MPs.

Then we have the roughly 35% of the electorate who did not cast a vote. Are they really apathetic about what way they are governed, or is it they feel disillusioned with British politics and that none of the parties represent what they stand for or believe in? I suggest it is the latter and they in fact did cast a vote on 7th May not to endorse the policies of any of the political parties. Surely all of these facts tell us that our first past the post voting system is unfit for a 21st century democracy. Continue reading

After the election: Why we must break through to a real democracy – A World to Win’s view

The Tory election victory cannot disguise the continuing break-up of the political-state system of rule and will actually hasten it. Over 75% of the UK electorate is unrepresented in any meaningful way while Scotland’s anti-austerity aspirations are blocked. What appears as a shock result belies a deep-going process of transformation, opening a period of political volatility of rising demands for rights that test and will break the limits of parliamentary democracy.

Although turn-out was up slightly, a third of voters stayed at home, feeling that their votes counted for little. A system that produces a dominant government which has the backing of under a quarter of those entitled to vote is democratic in name only. Safe to say, however, the mainstream parties have no intention of changing this.

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Visions of a democratic reality – by Rashid Mhar for openDemocracy & NatCAN

Do you have things in your life that you truly love? I am sure you do, I am sure that the very question conjures their image into your mind. Though I can’t guarantee it, I truly believe that those images would all be the faces of the people close to you. Do you have ideas, principles and ideals you truly love? Does that question conjure something into your mind, or does it give pause for reflection?

For myself I have to say, unlike my first question where I would confidently imagine what the question would conjure in your mind, to my second question I don’t know. Many years ago, I would have said freedom, equality, friendship, civilisation, community and perhaps most certainly I would have thought one of the ideas that would be dear to your heart would be democracy. As you already know this is no comment about how I see you, it is something that causes me to reflect upon myself. I have to ask myself what has changed to change me. Read more

Assembling for democracy: part 1, learning from the Blanketeers – by Dr Peter Evans for OpenDemocracy

Throughout Britain’s history her people have had to organise and assemble to fight for meaningful democracy. Blanketeers, Chartists, and Radicals; trade unions and the labour movement; suffragists and suffragettes – all of these movements over the past 200 years emerged as the people of this country recognised that they were being denied a political voice, and excluded from exercising meaningful political power.

In 1793 a Convention was organised at Edinburgh called ‘The British Convention of the Delegates of the People associated to obtain Universal Suffrage and Annual Parliaments’ – an assembly for democracy. As its title declared, its purpose was to discuss how best to achieve Universal Suffrage in this country (albeit to be exercised by males on behalf of family units). It was quickly shut down by the government, and the participants were arrested and put on trial for sedition (seeking to overthrow the government). They were show trials. In the case of Joseph Gerrald, for example, the case was presided over by a judge candid in expressing his belief that calling for universal male suffrage constituted sedition, or worse. The jury was hand-picked: each one a member of a group that had already publicly denounced Gerrald for his political views. Needless to say he was found guilty, and sentenced to 15 years ‘transportation’, i.e. exile, to New South Wales, where he died from tuberculosis. Along with the other ‘Scottish martyrs’ became the example the government wanted – evidence of the consequences of seeking democratic reform for political empowerment. Read more